Don’t just take my word for it. Here’s an expert making the case

Photo by Ahmed Zayan on Unsplash
If anyone’s noticed, this space has been quiet for many weeks thanks to some website glitch I understand about as well as I understand neuroscience. A very tech-smart friend has been working on it, doing things I also absolutely do not understand. But as it seems to be working for a while I thought I’d try posting this, which recently went up on my Substack, The Optimistic Eye. Hope you enjoy it.
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We are not alone, we battered optimists of the world!
Within our ranks is none other than economist Yuval Atsmon, Senior Partner and Chief Financial Officer of McKinsey & Co. Atsmon, who is based in London, “advises companies on strategy and growth-led transformations, and leads McKinsey’s global finance function,” which one understands if one is in the rarefied universe of multinational management consulting. Mostly what this writer knows of the distinguished Mr. Atsmon is that he formerly lived and worked in China, and writes frequently about AI — neither of which would seem to be foundationally optimistic. But he is.
My also wise friend Mary Trigiani, who speaks Art, Italian and Management (check out her Substack) posts compilations of worthwhile articles for her business-oriented followers. Her latest included Atsmon’s article “The case for optimism in uncertain times,” and The Optimistic Eye simply could not resist. The entire article (actually meant for financial gurus and not for the likes of this right-brained writer) is linked for your reading enjoyment; but a few universal takeaway excerpts follow.
These times could hardly be less certain. We have an incompetent president miring us ever deeper in an un-thought war that is wreaking global havoc. An administration turning its back on climate change, healthcare and people in need and Lauren Sanchez-Bezos on front pages with her campaign for Most Photographed Bosom. The only certainties sometimes seem cause for pessimism. Still —
“When the world feels this uncertain,” Atsmon writes, “optimism can look like denial. But that depends on how broadly you frame the past and future.”
Maybe that’s half the battle. If we simply frame the past and the future more broadly, it brings the present down to manageable size. Atsmon argues that the long arc of progress indicates our “capacity to solve problems and expand what is possible has consistently outpaced our ability to foresee the future.” A future in which Donald Trump is only a comedic footnote and may it soon be so.
“It is sensible, then,” Atsmon continues, “to assume that the future will continue to be shaped by breakthroughs we cannot yet imagine. Critically, believing this is vital to making that future unfold.”
By this point, I was hooked. I am a believer.
In the long arc of history, Atsmon’s arguments could apply to far more than business management. Economics, global health, climate change, even politics. Bad news can be here today . . . but gone tomorrow, and with something better the next day.
Atsmon explains that this is not just about having a sunshiny disposition or ignoring reality, or even a matter of the “low probability” business. “Buying a lottery ticket and believing you’ll win the big prize is harmless; betting everything on winning is not.” But he points out that pessimism isn’t any great alternative:
“An old tale illustrates this: A thief sentenced to death by a tyrannical king makes a bizarre proposal to teach the king’s favorite horse to sing a hymn within a year in exchange for his life. Asked why he made such an absurd promise, the thief answers, “A lot can happen in a year. The king may die or lose power, the horse may die, or the horse may sing.” And any of these outcomes beats certain death.
A lot can still happen in 2026. The Democrats may win Congress, King Trump may lose his hold on the Republican Party, horses may sing. By the 2030s, sanity and clean energy may be returning. In the 2040s I do not plan to be around, but my guess is that the planet will be.
“Optimism oriented toward a longer time horizon,” Yuval Atsmon argues, “is valuable and fundamental… Long-term optimism is not just descriptive, it’s generative: it helps to shape a better future by motivating the search for solutions.”
Let’s hear it for optimism, long-term and short. Thanks, Yuval Atsmon.










